Posts tagged ‘U. S. stock market’

Waiting for the Markets on Monday Morning

by , posted on Monday, August 8th, 2011 at 8:25 am

Well, a better title might be waiting for the markets on this particular Monday morning. Since the S&P’s historic downgrade ot the U.S. rating, from AAA to AA+ happened after the markets closed on Friday, this will be the first chance we have to see how investors will react.

Signs from abroad, as well as futures trading this morning, suggest we will see a decline. Generally I am seeing multiple reports that analysts think there may be an initial shock – blunted, I think intentially by S&P, by the timing if the announcement for maximum cool-off before the markets next opened – followed by stabilization. Analysts seem to agree there is no tangible reason that the stock market should react at all to the U.S. rating downgrade.

But then I keep thinking there is no tangible reason the market should react to nine out of ten news events – it just does. People are strange, and unpredictable, and irrational, and subject to herd mentality, especially where the behavior of markets is concerned. And people make those buying and selling decisions. Then too, there is no precedent to look to in order to predict what will happen with the markets, as a downgrade to the U.S. credit rating has never happened before.


Update: DJIA down around 200 points within minutes of opening. Bad, but not all that shocking. Will be interesting to see where market closes.

Update: Is S&P on a mission? They’ve just downgraded Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, DJIA down 356 as I type this.